Professor Donnelly says with amusement, ‘I was the sort of child who did logic puzzles for fun. I did lots of them, books and books...I gave my own children those same books...nothing, they were not interested.’ But, she adds, ‘One thing that makes a disease more easily controllable is symptoms appearing before spread. COVID-19 did not transmit in the same way. [Transmission often happened before symptoms]. It was an extremely difficult, new pathogen.’

All models are wrong, she says, quoting someone else.Does that mean they are a waste of time? Not at all, Professor Donnelly adds, ‘Some are useful. Just because it’s “wrong” – in the sense of simplifying reality – doesn’t mean it cannot give useful insight But Oxford University’s new Academic Champion for Policy Engagement is actually totally engaging and clearly cares a very great deal about the humans behind the statistics. She is also more than happy to talk about her work, the analysis, the modelling and what everyone thinks they know about it. She is well aware there are many critics of early COVID-19 transmission models ( some of which she contributed to), predicting hundreds of thousands of deaths in the UK in an uncontrolled COVID-19 epidemic. Castle Châteldon wis ance awned bi Prime Meenister Pierre Laval. It remains the prime landmark o the veelage. As a way of reassuring, but not, she adds, ‘I would love to return to the way things were, and see my family in the US.’ French Land Register data, which excludes lakes, ponds, glaciers > 1km 2 (0.386sqmi or 247 acres) and river estuaries.There is a slight increase. It could be a result of waning vaccine effectiveness. [That age group had their booster vaccines in autumn 2021].’ Châteldon ( French pronunciation: [ʃatɛldɔ̃]; Occitan: Chasteladon) is a commune in the Puy-de-Dôme department in Auvergne-Rhône-Alpes in central France. Ever the slightly scary statistician, she says, ‘It’s hard to believe there won’t be a few surprises out there. You can’t know what future variants will look like.’

Pour certains, elles ont des qualités supérieures aux eaux de SPA qui connaissent la célébrité dans toute l’Europe.Pierre Laval, dans les années 30-40 tentera de leur donner un nouvel essor sans y réussir, peut-être parce que rattrapé par l’histoire, comme chef de gouvernement d’une période difficile, celle de la France du Maréchal Pétain.Aujourd’hui, l’eau minérale de Châteldon, a conservé sa renommée auprès des plus grandes tables de France et du monde, et continue d’être distribuée par le groupe Castel. She adds, ‘And who could have predicted there would have been a vaccine less than a year after SARS-CoV-2 was identified? It was astounding. We are extremely fortunate to live in a country which is able to offer the vaccine to everyone who wants it. Not everyone has that option.’The two springs, named Lucy and Stella in honour of the two daughters of the company founder, have been known for over 150 years. Vichy Catalan Spanish Sparkling mineral water is synonymous with good health, encapsulating the essence of Spanish culture. Established in 1881, it is a Naturally Sparkling water with a high mineral content and a distinctive taste. This premium water emerges from the ground at 60 degrees Celsius, which gives it a unique personality. Professor Donnelly has spent her career working on statistics around infectious diseases from Ebola to bovine TB from Lassa fever to MERS

In her next ‘it wasn’t supposed to be like this moment’, the new Dr Donnelly decided to go abroad for a year after completing her Harvard studies. That was 1992. She has been in the UK ever since. Aside from keeping in touch with friends and family, the self-deprecating Professor Donnelly does not do social media for very good reasons. The popularity of Badoit is due to it’s digestive-aid qualities owing to the high levels of Bicarbonates, in fact it was only sold in pharmacies until 1954. Carvalhelhos, Barosso Hills, Portugal So, after graduating, she went to Harvard to do a Masters and then a doctorate in biostatistics– allowing her to follow her love for Maths and Biology.Initially, she was appointed a statistics lecturer at University of Edinburgh, where she taught final year ‘inference’ – [working out how you gain insights from data using statistics]. The water is rich in minerals from the heart of the earth, which coincidentally have been shown to lower cholesterol, thus benefitting the heart. It also has many other health properties. She was to return though. And, in 2018, she became Professor of Applied Statistics at Oxford. From September 2022 she will be the Head of Department. But she has remained a part of the Imperial team and has students at both institutions.